What will the energy truce bring to Ukraine and Russia?

According to Bloomberg, since the beginning of the full-scale aggression, Russia has been methodically attacking the Ukrainian energy sector.

For Kyiv, the main target among the aggressor country’s facilities is an extensive network of Russian oil refineries. If the “energy truce” does work, Russia will face a lower risk of refinery shutdowns due to UAV attacks in the near future. The refineries are currently undergoing seasonal maintenance. In addition, demand for fuel is higher in spring due to the start of the sowing season.

At the same time, a cessation of Russian attacks on Ukraine’s power plants could give Ukrainians a respite from power outages, although they have been less severe since the end of winter. It would also allow Ukraine to at least partially restore damaged facilities. In addition, Kyiv would have gained time to conduct annual maintenance of its nuclear power plants. Ukraine would have been able to increase domestic gas production and pump more fuel into storage facilities in preparation for winter.

Instead, military experts believe that Putin allegedly agreed to the “energy truce” solely because Ukraine is increasingly capable of long-range strikes against Russia, and he would like to stop it.